Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.312665 0.372838 0.445881 0.542514 0.669218 0.832967 1.066243
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.225187 0.295169 0.392266 0.542456 0.780248 1.164971 1.891734
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.173735 0.242700 0.347702 0.530102 0.866068 1.529087 3.194853
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.147069 0.216308 0.330174 0.549070 1.013410 2.136070 6.084448
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.123653 0.188442 0.300926 0.533839 1.085104 2.666983 10.410528
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.109464 0.172359 0.287233 0.542827 1.219053 3.562817 21.256222
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.096847 0.156350 0.269386 0.535759 1.309333 4.491191 43.394229
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.088744 0.146942 0.262055 0.550276 1.477874 6.162802 128.260600
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.082788 0.140461 0.259111 0.574797 1.706587 8.959003 741.768432
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.077163 0.133661 0.253905 0.591508 1.929294 12.889677 27731.817005
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.072569 0.128200 0.250508 0.612528 2.202460 19.502437 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.068149 0.122440 0.245216 0.626062 2.466106 29.465317 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.063896 0.116595 0.238925 0.635610 2.741637 46.116251 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.059607 0.110154 0.230041 0.633547 2.959342 70.381676 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.055273 0.103114 0.218426 0.617686 3.072674 99.914676 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.052878 0.100132 0.217003 0.640721 3.546629 218.563987 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.049294 0.094035 0.206108 0.621941 3.640852 338.223754 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.047032 0.090763 0.202538 0.632935 4.066948 896.137886 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.044398 0.086346 0.195028 0.624254 4.285602 2180.557105 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.042739 0.084083 0.193398 0.642066 4.894814 23134.057370 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.041503 0.082705 0.194164 0.672233 5.817414 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.040107 0.080790 0.192987 0.692845 6.730672 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.038908 0.079245 0.192724 0.718833 7.939372 NaN NaN